Our Premier League DFS picks week 10 are final, with about 13 hours to the 15:00 UTC kickoff on Saturday 7 November. This guide covers Fanteam, DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo. Arsenal at home to Hull is the biggest talking point of the round, and several teams have shifted since our early look.
What changed since the early look
The biggest mover is Dominik Szoboszlai. His projection fell from 4.15 to 1.43, even though his status still reads expected. We treat him as a risk until team news says otherwise. Chelsea’s squad moved the most overall: Pep Chavarria rose 2.17 to 3.19 and Roméo Lavia rose 1.89 to 2.80, both still listed as possible, while Marco Palestra fell 1.30 to 1.48.
Elsewhere, Ferdi Kadıoğlu dropped from expected to possible at Brighton and lost 1.87 points. Lewis Cook at Bournemouth gained 1.77. Thomas Meunier and Mamadou Sangare both slid by more than a point.
What changed since the early look
| Player | Team | Early | Now | Change | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Szoboszlai | LIV | 4.15 | 1.43 | -2.72 | expected |
| Pep Chavarria | CHE | 1.02 | 3.19 | +2.17 | possible |
| Roméo Lavia | CHE | 0.91 | 2.80 | +1.89 | possible |
| Ferdi Kadıoğlu | BHA | 2.52 | 0.65 | -1.87 | expected → possible |
| Lewis Cook | BOU | 0.79 | 2.56 | +1.77 | possible |
| Thomas Meunier | SUN | 2.50 | 1.06 | -1.44 | possible |
| Marco Palestra | CHE | 2.78 | 1.48 | -1.30 | expected |
| Mamadou Sangare | BRE | 2.43 | 1.20 | -1.23 | expected |
Fanteam captains: Premier League DFS picks week 10
Fanteam has a budget of 118.0, 11 players and a maximum of three per club. Riccardo Calafiori has the top projection on the slate at 5.2, with a ceiling of 10.64 and an 84% start chance. Arsenal’s 82.34% win chance and 55.34% clean sheet chance against Hull do most of the work. He is the captain in our best lineup, worth 53.8 projected points, with Gabriel as vice-captain.
The safest captain by start probability is Cole Palmer, at 4.66 with an 89% start chance against Sunderland. David Raya (4.56) and Morgan Rogers (4.46) complete the safe group. Palmer’s recent form has been weak, but the fixture and the penalty duties outweigh that for us.
For a big-swing captain, we look at Charalampos Kostoulas (3.94, ceiling 10.10), Alexander Isak (3.92, ceiling 10.03) and Bruno Guimarães (3.63, ceiling 9.09). This is where we part from the research. Isak against a Palace defence that has been leaking has a lot of support, but we rank him 25th, below Cody Gakpo and Erling Haaland. Isak is a differential captain. He is not our first choice.
Haaland (4.80, 36.1% to score) is a harder call. The trip to Forest is tougher than their position suggests, and City’s win chance is 55.84%. We still project him fourth overall, and his scoring chance is the highest on the slate.
The vice-captain only doubles if the captain does not play. Calafiori and Gabriel come from the same team and the same rotation risk, so they could miss out together. Palmer is the better hedge if you want insurance from a different match.
Captain options, week 10
| Type | Player | Team | Opp | Salary | Proj | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safe | Cole Palmer | CHE | SUN | 10.2 | 4.66 | 10.6 |
| Safe | David Raya | ARS | HUL | 12.8 | 4.56 | 7.7 |
| Safe | Morgan Rogers | CHE | SUN | 10.3 | 4.46 | 10.0 |
| Upside | Charalampos Kostoulas | BHA | BRE | 12.1 | 3.94 | 10.1 |
| Upside | Alexander Isak | LIV | CRY | 13.5 | 3.92 | 10.0 |
| Upside | Bruno Guimarães | ARS | HUL | 14.7 | 3.63 | 9.1 |
Fanteam stacks
Manchester United’s pair of Bruno Fernandes and Bryan Mbeumo costs 21.8 and projects 9.2 together. They appear in 8 of our 15 lineups. Fernandes takes penalties, corners and free kicks, and Mbeumo carries the shot volume. United’s form is poor, but both play big minutes.
Chelsea’s Palmer and Rogers cost 20.5 and project 9.1. Liverpool’s Gakpo and Bradley Barcola cost 25.3 for the same 9.1, and Gakpo with Florian Wirtz costs 26.1. Arsenal’s Martin Ødegaard and Kai Havertz project the highest at 9.3 but cost 30.6, which is why they are in only 2 of 15 lineups.
The stacking penalty applies when several goalkeepers or defenders from one team all earn clean-sheet points. Our lineup takes two Arsenal defenders and goes with Alisson in goal, so it does not pair Raya with a Gunners back line.
Best stacks, week 10
| Stack | Team | Salary | Proj | In our lineups |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Fernandes + Bryan Mbeumo | MUN | 21.8 | 9.2 | 8 of 15 |
| Cole Palmer + Morgan Rogers | CHE | 20.5 | 9.1 | 6 of 15 |
| Cody Gakpo + Bradley Barcola | LIV | 25.3 | 9.1 | 5 of 15 |
| Martin Ødegaard + Kai Havertz | ARS | 30.6 | 9.3 | 2 of 15 |
| Florian Wirtz + Cody Gakpo | LIV | 26.1 | 9.1 | 2 of 15 |
Fanteam value plays
The cheapest points are all Hull. Regan Slater (3.5, 2.46), Mohamed Belloumi (4.1, 2.88) and Oliver McBurnie (4.0, 2.74) are all at 84% to start. Hull have a 5.65% win chance and a 0.63 projected goal total, so these are salary savers, not plays that win a round. Belloumi’s ceiling of 7.11 is the best of the group.
Higher up, Brian Brobbey at 7.6 (3.68) and Morgan Gibbs-White at 7.2 (3.85) are in our best lineup. Both fit the budget and leave room for the Arsenal and Manchester United players.
In goal, Raya costs 12.8 for 4.56. Alisson at 10.6 (3.72) saves 2.2 for a loss of 0.84 points, and Liverpool have a 33.33% clean sheet chance. Bernd Leno at 8.3 (3.34) and Bart Verbruggen at 8.9 (3.33) are cheaper routes.
Ezri Konsa projects 4.62 at 12.2, but his start probability is 79%. Fitness is the main concern. A player who only comes off the bench scores nothing for you, so wait for the lineup. Cristhian Mosquera (1.42) is the likely cover and William Saliba (0.53) projects as a bench option.
Underdogs and set-piece takers
The best underdog plays are Harvey Barnes (Newcastle, 8.9, 4.10), Brobbey (Sunderland), Igor Thiago (Brentford, 8.4, 3.65) and Johan Manzambi (Aston Villa, 9.3, 3.42, with the highest underdog win chance at 30.8%). Gibbs-White is the best value of the group. Forest’s win chance is 20.81%, but he takes penalties and free kicks. We rate Kevin Schade lower than Thiago, and his minutes have been shaky.
The set-piece list is short and useful: Haaland and Palmer on penalties, Fernandes on penalties, corners and free kicks, and Pascal Gross at Brighton on all three. Declan Rice (4.47) takes corners and free kicks, but we have some fatigue concerns after a full midweek match. Marcus Tavernier (3.90) at Bournemouth and Alex Iwobi (3.75) at Fulham are the next names.
DraftKings Premier League DFS: Saturday slate
The Saturday slate has two games listed: Fulham v Newcastle and Arsenal v Hull. DraftKings Classic uses 8 players (1 GK, 2 D, 2 M, 2 F, 1 UTIL) and a $50,000 cap. Value is projected points per $1,000.
Arsenal dominates the top projections. Kai Havertz leads at 10.15 for $9,100. Martin Ødegaard (8.91 at $7,000, value 1.27) and David Raya (8.19 at $5,900, value 1.39) are better on price. Christos Tzolis is the best of the Arsenal attackers on value at $5,200 for 7.78, though his start chance is 79%.
On the value side, Shea Charles is the pick at $3,500 for 5.51 (value 1.57). Riccardo Calafiori ($4,300, 6.28) and Jurrien Timber ($3,900, 5.48) give cheap defender points. From the Fulham v Newcastle game, Gonzalo Garcia ($4,800, 6.41) has a 21.6% chance to score, and Anthony Elanga ($7,700, 7.81) is the best Newcastle attacker.
DraftKings top projections, Saturday 7 Nov slate
| Player | Pos | Team | Opp | Salary | Proj | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Havertz | F/M | ARS | HUL | 9,100 | 10.15 | 1.12 |
| Martin Odegaard | M | ARS | HUL | 7,000 | 8.91 | 1.27 |
| Declan Rice | M | ARS | HUL | 7,200 | 8.28 | 1.15 |
| David Raya | GK | ARS | HUL | 5,900 | 8.19 | 1.39 |
| Noni Madueke | F/M | ARS | HUL | 7,900 | 8.12 | 1.03 |
| Anthony Elanga | F/M | NEW | FUL | 7,700 | 7.81 | 1.01 |
| Christos Tzolis | F | ARS | HUL | 5,200 | 7.78 | 1.50 |
| Mohamed Belloumi | F/M | HUL | ARS | 6,100 | 7.72 | 1.27 |
| Bruno Guimaraes | M | ARS | HUL | 7,100 | 7.71 | 1.09 |
| Alex Iwobi | F/M | FUL | NEW | 7,800 | 6.96 | 0.89 |
FanDuel Premier League DFS: Saturday slate
FanDuel’s Saturday slate adds Nottingham Forest v Manchester City to Fulham v Newcastle and Arsenal v Hull. The rules are 7 players (1 GK, 2 DEF, 4 FWD/MID), a $100 cap and a maximum of 4 per team. Value is projected points per salary point.
Havertz (19.0, 17.88) and Erling Haaland (25.0, 17.71) top the projections. Haaland costs 6.0 more, so Havertz is the better price. Belloumi (20.0, 14.63) and Ødegaard (18.0, 14.30) are next. Among defenders, Antonee Robinson at 13.0 (14.03) is the top projection at the position.
The best value is at the back. Daniel Muñoz (10.0, 11.09), Timothy Castagne (11.0, 12.01) and Amar Dedic (11.0, 11.87) all return more than a point per salary point. Muñoz has a 79% start chance, so check team news. Shea Charles (12.0, 12.50) is the midfield option.
Lewis Hall at 15.0 (13.08) is the Newcastle defender to be careful with. Newcastle are the away side with a 17.29% clean sheet chance, and Dedic gets close to the same projection for 4.0 less.
FanDuel top projections, Saturday 7 Nov slate
| Player | Pos | Team | Opp | Salary | Proj | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Havertz | FWD/MID | ARS | HUL | 19.0 | 17.88 | 0.94 |
| Erling Haaland | FWD/MID | MCI | NFO | 25.0 | 17.71 | 0.71 |
| Mohamed Belloumi | FWD/MID | HUL | ARS | 20.0 | 14.63 | 0.73 |
| Martin Odegaard | FWD/MID | ARS | HUL | 18.0 | 14.30 | 0.79 |
| Declan Rice | FWD/MID | ARS | HUL | 21.0 | 14.17 | 0.67 |
| Antonee Robinson | DEF | FUL | NEW | 13.0 | 14.03 | 1.08 |
| Christos Tzolis | FWD/MID | ARS | HUL | 17.0 | 13.26 | 0.78 |
| Jeremy Doku | FWD/MID | MCI | NFO | 19.0 | 13.25 | 0.70 |
| Bruno Guimaraes | FWD/MID | ARS | HUL | 14.0 | 13.22 | 0.94 |
| Lewis Hall | DEF | NEW | FUL | 15.0 | 13.08 | 0.87 |
Yahoo Premier League DFS: Saturday slate
Yahoo’s Saturday slate has the same three games as FanDuel: Fulham v Newcastle, Arsenal v Hull and Nottingham Forest v Manchester City. The rules are 11 players (1 GK, 3 D, 4 M, 2 F, 1 UTIL), a cap of 200 and a maximum of 6 per team. Value is projected points per salary point.
Haaland has the top projection at 7.87 but costs 30.0, which gives him a value of 0.26. Havertz at 18.0 (7.76, value 0.43) is much cheaper for nearly the same output. With a six-player limit, you can build around Arsenal heavily: Raya (21.0, 6.74), Gabriel (21.0, 6.02) and Guimarães (15.0, 5.60) all appear in the top ten.
For cheaper points, Gonzalo Garcia (10.0, 4.58) has the best value at 0.46. Noni Madueke (12.0, 4.97), Calafiori (14.0, 5.56) and Timber (11.0, 4.31) round out the value list. Tzolis (14.0, 5.39) is another useful low-cost attacker.
Yahoo top projections, Saturday 7 Nov slate
| Player | Pos | Team | Opp | Salary | Proj | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erling Haaland | F | MCI | NFO | 30.0 | 7.87 | 0.26 |
| Kai Havertz | F | ARS | HUL | 18.0 | 7.76 | 0.43 |
| David Raya | GK | ARS | HUL | 21.0 | 6.74 | 0.32 |
| Martin Odegaard | M | ARS | HUL | 18.0 | 6.37 | 0.35 |
| Gabriel | D | ARS | HUL | 21.0 | 6.02 | 0.29 |
| Bruno Guimaraes | M | ARS | HUL | 15.0 | 5.60 | 0.37 |
| Riccardo Calafiori | D | ARS | HUL | 14.0 | 5.56 | 0.40 |
| Declan Rice | M | ARS | HUL | 22.0 | 5.49 | 0.25 |
| Christos Tzolis | F | ARS | HUL | 14.0 | 5.39 | 0.38 |
| Josko Gvardiol | D | MCI | NFO | 16.0 | 5.26 | 0.33 |
Fades and pivots
Our model agrees with the research on several fades. Lewis Hall (2.28), Liam Delap (2.89) and Ayden Heaven (2.17) project poorly. Delap’s finishing also holds back Forest’s creative players, so Gibbs-White is a good player in a weak situation. Schade’s minutes have been shaky, so we prefer Thiago.
We are cooler than the research on Antonio Silva (3.12) and Luka Vuskovic (3.30), who are liked on set-piece threat and clean-sheet chances. Bournemouth and Brighton have clean sheet chances of 29.86% and 26.24%, but we like Maxim De Cuyper (3.60) and Petrovic and Verbruggen in goal more than the central defenders.
Szoboszlai’s drop opens the door to Alexis Mac Allister (3.73) as a safe Liverpool midfielder. If you worry about Arsenal rotation, Palmer and Rogers are the stable pivots.
Final checks before lock
Projections update until lock, so check late team news before the deadline. The tables show 0 for players with less than a 50% chance of starting. These are the main items to watch:
- Arsenal back line: Konsa’s fitness and Saliba’s return decide who starts.
- Jordan Henderson: listed at a 75% chance of playing with illness, projected 3.46.
- Szoboszlai and Kadıoğlu: both have moved a long way since the early look.
- Manchester City rotation: Gvardiol, Phil Foden and Rayan Cherki all have uncertain minutes.
- Daniel Muñoz: a 79% start chance matters for the FanDuel value pick.
Full, sortable projections for every player, with a CSV download for your own optimizer, are on our Premier League DFS projections page, for Fanteam, DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo.