NBA DFS Picks (Feb 6): The Memphis Value Raid & The Kawhi Lock

The Post-Deadline Landscape

Welcome to our breakdown of the best NBA DFS Picks for February 6. With the trade deadline dust settling, the pricing algorithms haven’t caught up to the new rotations yet.

Our models have identified massive pricing errors, specifically in Memphis and Minnesota, that allow you to fit the elite superstars. We aren’t looking at ownership percentages yetβ€”we are looking at raw math.

Here is your attack plan for tonight.

The “Must-Have” Value: Cedric Coward (MEM)

  • Salary: 9.2M
  • Projection: 30.5 FP
  • Value Score: 3.31 (Highest on the slate)

The Read: This is the math-breaker of the night. At just 9.2M, Coward is projecting for over 30 fantasy points, giving him a massive 3.31 Value Ratio. He is priced like a bench warmer but projected like a starter. Locking him in gives you the immediate salary relief needed to pay up for Cade or Kawhi. If he hits his 41.3 ceiling, he breaks the slate.

🏒 The Stack: The “Grizzly Bear” Discount

It’s not just Coward. The entire Memphis rotation is mispriced relative to their projections. You can legitimately run a full Memphis value stack to load up on superstars elsewhere.

  • Cam Spencer (SG – 10.4M): 3.16 Value. A safe 32.8 projection for barely over 10M.
  • Gregory Jackson (PF – 9.0M): 3.03 Value. Another sub-10M player projecting for 27+ points.

The Strategy: Stack Coward + Spencer. Total cost: 19.6M. Total Projection: 63.3 FP. That is an elite return on investment that opens up your cap for the 17M+ guys.

πŸ‘‘ The “Spend-Up”: Cade vs. Kawhi

You have the salary savings from Memphis. Now, where do you spend it?

Option A: Cade Cunningham (DET – 17.0M)

  • Proj: 48.2 FP (Highest on slate)
  • The Argument: The raw points leader. Cade has the ball in his hands every possession. He is the safest bet for 50+ FP, but he is the most expensive player on the board.

Option B: Kawhi Leonard (LAC – 16.0M) πŸ‘‘

  • Proj: 48.1 FP
  • The Argument: This is the better play. Kawhi projects virtually the same as Cade (48.1 vs 48.2) but costs 1.0M less. His Value Score (3.01) is significantly better than Cade’s (2.84).
  • Verdict: Take the discount with Kawhi and use the extra 1.0M to upgrade your Center.

    Don’t Forget To Check Our NBA Projections Page

    πŸ“‰ The GPP Pivot: Naz Reid (MIN)

    • Salary: 10.3M
    • Proj: 33.2 FP
    • Value: 3.22

    While everyone looks at Bam Adebayo (14.5M) at Center, Naz Reid is the tournament winner. He offers a massive 3.22 value score and a ceiling of 44.6 FP. He is significantly cheaper than the elite centers but offers similar upside if he gets hot from deep.

    Summary Lineup Construction:

    • PG: Cade Cunningham (If you have the budget) or Andrew Nembhard (Value pivot)
    • SG: Cam Spencer (Value Lock)
    • SF: Kawhi Leonard (The Core Spend)
    • PF: John Collins (9.8M – 3.20 Value)
    • C: Naz Reid (The GPP Play)
    • Flex: Cedric Coward (The 9.2M Free Square)

    The Bottom Line: Lock in the Memphis value trio (Coward/Spencer), anchor with Kawhi Leonard, and you will have a lineup built to crush the cash line.

    Good luck.

    Full Projections & Data

    Below are the full sortable tables for tonight’s slate. Use the search bar to find specific players.

    Fanteam Projections

    NamePosTeamSalaryProjValueFT-PrefOwn%FormFloorCeilStd DevBoomStatusIds
    Cade CunninghamPGDET18.253.92.965.50.0%52.738.969.511.75.1%expected4431021
    Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderPGOKC16.849.42.945.10.0%43.137.161.99.72.8%expected4434905
    LeBron JamesSFLAL15.744.82.864.614.9%42.731.259.911.14.5%expected4434587
    Donovan MitchellSGCLE14.542.92.964.631.7%39.429.956.010.24.6%expected4430977
    James HardenPGCLE13.839.72.884.331.9%36.526.951.79.71.5%expected4434559
    Austin ReavesSGLAL13.439.22.924.33.0%32.327.052.010.24.6%expected4434588
    Evan MobleyPFCLE12.538.33.064.425.8%35.527.149.49.03.2%expected4430972
    Chet HolmgrenCOKC12.936.22.813.90.0%42.125.047.48.81.7%expected4434907
    Jalen DurenCDET12.135.52.944.00.0%27.724.946.88.43.0%expected4431016
    Tobias HarrisSFDET11.832.92.793.60.0%38.521.745.59.33.3%expected4431019
    Jarrett AllenCCLE10.230.73.013.718.2%33.321.040.57.52.0%expected4430967
    Ausar ThompsonSGDET10.630.12.843.40.0%29.820.040.78.11.8%expected4431027
    Ajay MitchellPGOKC11.228.82.573.00.0%34.619.039.17.70.8%expected4434916
    Isaiah HartensteinCOKC9.828.22.883.30.0%28.618.836.77.10.5%expected4434913
    Rui HachimuraPFLAL8.825.52.903.10.3%29.715.735.28.02.5%expected4434590
    Marcus SmartPGLAL9.125.32.783.00.1%25.514.534.78.11.6%expected4434586
    Deandre AytonCLAL8.623.22.692.76.3%28.113.531.87.31.1%expected4434578
    Duncan RobinsonSGDET8.221.12.572.40.0%31.011.930.67.91.0%expected4431034
    Daniss JenkinsPGDET6.819.42.862.50.0%22.111.027.46.60.8%possible4431024
    Luke KennardSGLAL7.218.82.612.20.0%16.510.627.06.60.8%possible4430864
    Max StrusSGCLE7.518.42.452.15.7%22.99.127.17.00.1%possible4430978
    Cason WallacePGOKC7.018.02.572.10.0%22.110.026.16.10.4%possible4434919
    Alex CarusoSGOKC6.517.82.742.30.0%19.59.426.36.51.7%possible4434903
    Dennis SchroderPGCLE5.516.53.002.31.1%12.78.324.66.62.1%possible4435377
    Luguentz DortSFOKC6.214.22.281.60.0%13.67.421.05.60.0%expected4434906
    Jaylon TysonSFCLE6.012.92.141.44.9%14.35.620.36.20.1%possible4430970
    Dean WadePFCLE5.812.82.221.40.5%12.66.119.85.50.0%expected4430965
    Jaylin WilliamsPFOKC5.712.72.231.40.0%13.74.820.96.30.3%possible4434909
    Isaiah JoeSGOKC5.512.32.231.40.0%12.94.320.46.30.2%possible4434904
    Caris LeVertSFDET5.612.22.181.40.0%8.05.419.25.30.0%possible4431029
    Jared McCainPGOKC5.210.52.031.10.0%11.52.818.86.50.2%possible4435077
    Sam MerrillSGCLE5.310.51.991.10.4%10.33.718.15.70.1%possible4430964
    Jaxson HayesCLAL5.210.01.921.00.2%8.64.315.64.60.0%possible4434584
    Isaiah StewartCDET5.49.11.690.80.0%4.43.215.04.70.0%possible4431030
    Paul ReedPFDET5.26.91.330.50.0%8.71.612.74.50.0%possible4431023
    Adou ThieroSFLAL5.46.01.110.40.0%4.70.512.75.30.0%possible4434576
    Maxi KleberPFLAL4.75.61.190.40.0%5.01.210.84.10.0%possible4434585
    Jarred VanderbiltPFLAL5.05.51.090.40.0%9.20.810.74.40.0%possible4434577
    Javonte GreenSGDET5.05.11.010.30.0%3.60.99.63.80.0%possible4431032
    Jake LaRaviaPFLAL4.94.40.900.30.0%8.91.28.02.80.0%possible4434581
    Ronald Holland IISFDET4.63.90.850.20.0%5.10.58.33.50.0%possible4431028
    Aaron WigginsSGOKC4.52.90.650.10.0%3.50.08.03.90.0%possible4434921

    DraftKings Projections

    PositionNameIDPosSalaryGame InfoTeamAvgProjValueOwn%FloorCeilStd DevSlate
    PGCade Cunningham43031114PG/G/UTIL10900DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET49.82 53.55 4.91 26.85 38.52 69.61 11.69 main
    PGShai Gilgeous-Alexander43031117PG/G/UTIL10100OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC50.14 49.24 4.88 28.74 37.39 62.01 9.74 main
    PFLeBron James43031120PF/F/UTIL9200OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL42.06 45.11 4.90 37.43 31.45 58.82 11.10 main
    SGDonovan Mitchell43031123SG/G/UTIL8700DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETCLE44.03 42.06 4.83 28.98 29.55 55.73 10.19 main
    PGJames Harden43031126PG/G/UTIL8000DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETCLE44.12 39.34 4.92 35.51 27.80 50.93 9.69 main
    PG/SGAustin Reaves43031129PG/SG/G/UTIL7900OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL39.51 38.69 4.90 35.51 26.34 52.65 10.15 main
    PF/CEvan Mobley43031136PF/C/F/UTIL7500DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETCLE39.4 36.81 4.91 42.02 27.06 50.29 9.05 main
    PFChet Holmgren43031133PF/F/UTIL7700OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC35.73 35.85 4.66 25.36 25.49 47.50 8.80 main
    CJalen Duren43031146C/UTIL6900DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET36.79 34.98 5.07 29.92 25.24 46.60 8.39 main
    PFTobias Harris43031143PF/F/UTIL7100DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET27.84 33.05 4.65 34.08 20.82 44.67 9.28 main
    SFAusar Thompson43031152SF/F/UTIL6400DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET27.49 30.09 4.70 29.71 19.59 40.34 8.14 main
    PG/SGAjay Mitchell43031148PG/SG/G/UTIL6700OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC26.85 29.24 4.36 22.59 18.59 38.56 7.69 main
    CJarrett Allen43031155C/UTIL5700DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETCLE31.65 28.89 5.07 33.66 21.01 40.14 7.50 main
    CIsaiah Hartenstein43031157C/UTIL5500OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC29.2 27.18 4.94 31.81 18.94 37.12 7.07 main
    SG/SFMarcus Smart43031159SG/SF/F/G/UTIL5400OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL22.4 24.63 4.56 35.21 14.77 35.46 8.06 main
    SF/PFRui Hachimura43031164SF/PF/F/UTIL5300OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL20.27 24.42 4.61 35.53 15.59 34.85 7.95 main
    CDeandre Ayton43031168C/UTIL5200OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL26.66 24.16 4.65 37.97 13.19 32.54 7.30 main
    SGDuncan Robinson43031170SG/G/UTIL4900DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET21.78 21.60 4.41 26.73 11.30 30.66 7.91 main
    SG/SFMax Strus43031173SG/SF/F/G/UTIL4500DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETCLE22.02 18.94 4.21 27.03 9.91 27.25 7.00 main
    PGDaniss Jenkins43031187PG/G/UTIL4200DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET19.55 18.53 4.41 22.98 11.09 27.68 6.58 main
    SG/SFCason Wallace43031182SG/SF/F/G/UTIL4300OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC21.12 17.79 4.14 17.04 9.70 25.65 6.11 main
    PG/SGLuke Kennard43031178PG/SG/G/UTIL4400OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL17.26 17.76 4.04 8.70 10.41 26.94 6.59 main
    SF/PFAlex Caruso43031190SF/PF/F/UTIL4000OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC16.06 17.35 4.34 25.78 9.91 26.47 6.47 main
    PGDennis Schroder43031215PG/G/UTIL3300DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETCLE21.78 14.95 4.53 36.76 8.07 24.94 6.55 main
    SGLuguentz Dort43031194SG/G/UTIL3700OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC17.42 14.16 3.83 10.64 7.41 21.64 5.57 main
    SF/PFJaylon Tyson43031197SF/PF/F/UTIL3600DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETCLE24.25 13.71 3.81 9.60 5.30 21.14 6.17 main
    SF/PFDean Wade43031201SF/PF/F/UTIL3500DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETCLE15.66 13.19 3.77 11.11 6.18 20.30 5.51 main
    SG/SFIsaiah Joe43031205SG/SF/F/G/UTIL3300OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC18.48 12.46 3.77 15.81 4.44 19.66 6.25 main
    CJaylin Williams43031218C/UTIL3400OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC19.72 12.30 3.62 6.78 4.41 20.92 6.33 main
    SGSam Merrill43031228SG/G/UTIL3200DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETCLE20.58 11.07 3.46 6.34 3.28 18.42 5.67 main
    SG/SFCaris LeVert43031210SG/SF/F/G/UTIL3400DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET15.58 10.84 3.19 5.63 5.92 18.98 5.34 main
    CJaxson Hayes43031224C/UTIL3100OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL15.61 10.18 3.29 1.50 4.09 15.61 4.58 main
    PGJared McCain43031235PG/G/UTIL3100OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC13.9 10.08 3.25 10.30 2.73 18.75 6.50 main
    PF/CIsaiah Stewart43031220PF/C/F/UTIL3300DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET19.91 9.46 2.87 1.75 3.23 15.14 4.70 main
    CPaul Reed43031226C/UTIL3200DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET17.87 6.50 2.03 0.12 1.41 12.45 4.50 main
    SF/PFJavonte Green43031231SF/PF/F/UTIL3100DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET14.17 6.43 2.07 0.53 0.78 9.93 3.82 main
    PFJarred Vanderbilt43031260PF/F/UTIL3000OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL13.67 5.68 1.89 0.29 0.61 10.99 4.37 main
    SG/SFJake LaRavia43031242SG/SF/F/G/UTIL3000OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL18.35 5.59 1.86 0.89 1.01 7.88 2.76 main
    SF/PFAdou Thiero43031238SF/PF/F/UTIL3200OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL4.48 5.46 1.71 0.76 0.74 12.78 5.34 main
    SF/PFAaron Wiggins43031263SF/PF/F/UTIL3000OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC17.32 4.70 1.57 0.27 0.00 7.81 3.95 main
    PF/CMaxi Kleber43031292PF/C/F/UTIL3000OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL6.66 4.53 1.51 0.46 1.09 10.92 4.09 main
    PFRonald Holland II43031247PF/F/UTIL3000DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET16.98 3.25 1.08 0.21 0.44 8.29 3.47 main

    Fanduel Projections

    IdPositionNicknameSalaryGameTeamOpponentFptsValueOwn%FloorCeilStdDev
    129617-188414C/PFVictor Wembanyama12300POR@SASAPOR58.1 4.72 10.64 49.68 65.74 11.99
    129617-80808PF/SFJayson Tatum9900PHI@BOSBOSPHI47.9 4.84 22.21 41.29 54.96 10.27
    129617-157833PF/SFJalen Johnson8900ATL@NYATLNY44.8 5.03 19.83 35.02 49.36 10.76
    129617-49111CJoel Embiid9700PHI@BOSPHIBOS44.7 4.60 26.64 34.00 49.16 11.15
    129617-145331PGTyrese Maxey9500PHI@BOSPHIBOS43.6 4.59 13.87 31.28 46.02 10.82
    129617-58462C/PFKarl-Anthony Towns8600ATL@NYNYATL43.1 5.01 18.11 35.26 47.94 9.48
    129617-67026SF/SGJaylen Brown9000PHI@BOSBOSPHI42.3 4.71 19.95 35.58 48.56 9.55
    129617-145539SF/PFDeni Avdija8800POR@SAPORSA42.0 4.77 14.62 31.22 45.54 10.49
    129617-84690PGJalen Brunson8300ATL@NYNYATL41.8 5.04 24.64 32.70 45.42 9.54
    129617-203723SG/PGStephon Castle7700POR@SASAPOR37.3 4.85 20.76 29.96 41.96 8.83
    129617-80810PGDe’Aaron Fox7200POR@SASAPOR34.9 4.84 19.21 30.34 42.50 9.15
    129617-9663PGJrue Holiday6800POR@SAPORSA34.6 5.09 29.73 28.14 41.30 9.69
    129617-68090SF/PFOG Anunoby6800ATL@NYNYATL33.6 4.94 30.23 26.80 38.76 8.97
    129617-19067SG/PGCJ McCollum7100ATL@NYATLNY33.2 4.67 26.54 25.04 38.00 9.47
    129617-40562SF/PFJosh Hart6500ATL@NYNYATL32.3 4.97 19.20 26.58 37.50 8.13
    129617-12341SF/PFPaul George6900PHI@BOSPHIBOS31.7 4.59 17.01 22.64 35.16 9.25
    129617-110356SG/PGNickeil Alexander-Walker6300ATL@NYATLNY31.4 4.99 26.43 24.23 37.34 9.68
    129617-145304C/PFOnyeka Okongwu6100ATL@NYATLNY30.7 5.03 27.52 26.68 39.81 9.75
    129617-171784SG/PGDyson Daniels6600ATL@NYATLNY30.6 4.64 19.58 23.76 35.00 8.22
    129617-49675SG/PGDerrick White5800PHI@BOSBOSPHI29.5 5.09 21.42 23.38 34.84 8.50
    129617-228133SG/PGVJ Edgecombe6700PHI@BOSPHIBOS29.1 4.34 5.22 20.22 31.78 8.39
    129617-58153SF/PFKelly Oubre5200PHI@BOSPHIBOS27.4 5.26
    129617-145335PG/SGPayton Pritchard5400PHI@BOSBOSPHI27.1 5.02 11.04 19.04 29.36 7.59
    129617-84708C/PFRobert Williams5300POR@SAPORSA26.1 4.92 38.23 19.78 29.44 7.24
    129617-145324SF/SGDevin Vassell5600POR@SASAPOR24.8 4.43 21.86 20.24 31.26 8.08
    129617-157904SF/PFJonathan Kuminga5100ATL@NYATLNY24.3 4.77 18.21 18.54 28.42 7.28
    129617-188428PGScoot Henderson5000POR@SAPORSA24.2 4.84 23.97 19.02 31.04 8.97
    129617-203714CDonovan Clingan4900POR@SAPORSA22.3 4.56 3.02 19.62 29.82 7.64
    129617-188447SF/PFToumani Camara4400POR@SAPORSA22.3 5.07 12.82 15.34 25.64 7.65
    129617-157811CNeemias Queta4400PHI@BOSBOSPHI22.2 5.04 1.72 15.96 26.18 7.82
    129617-228126SG/PGDylan Harper4800POR@SASAPOR21.2 4.42 34.21 17.16 27.92 8.07
    129617-84670SG/SFMikal Bridges4200ATL@NYNYATL20.7 4.92 5.35 14.58 24.64 7.33
    129617-23831PF/SFJerami Grant4500POR@SAPORSA20.6 4.58 18.50 13.06 22.58 7.12
    129617-172098SG/SFJulian Champagnie4100POR@SASAPOR19.8 4.83 27.15 14.98 25.02 7.40
    129617-14514CNikola Vucevic4000PHI@BOSBOSPHI18.7 4.67 18.51 17.22 27.50 7.54
    129617-157824PG/SGMiles McBride3800ATL@NYNYATL17.4 4.58 18.80 11.26 20.14 6.63
    129617-84709CMitchell Robinson3700ATL@NYNYATL16.0 4.33 6.95 12.58 22.00 7.12
    129617-158854SF/PFSam Hauser3800PHI@BOSBOSPHI15.7 4.12 9.55 10.64 18.90 6.12
    129617-110347SF/PFKeldon Johnson3800POR@SASAPOR15.4 4.07 19.44 11.60 20.58 6.78
    129617-41083CLuke Kornet3900POR@SASAPOR14.8 3.79 0.31 9.66 18.58 6.70
    129617-157826SG/SFQuentin Grimes3900PHI@BOSPHIBOS14.2 3.65 0.57 7.84 15.26 5.52
    129617-171804SG/PGShaedon Sharpe3700POR@SAPORSA12.9 3.48 5.01 9.03 16.92 5.98
    129617-20640SG/PGJordan Clarkson3600ATL@NYNYATL11.3 3.14 15.83 8.78 17.12 6.24
    129617-203715SGBaylor Scheierman3600PHI@BOSBOSPHI9.4 2.62 1.53 4.91 11.82 5.23
    129617-188457SFJordan Walsh3500PHI@BOSBOSPHI8.4 2.41 0.15 4.44 11.22 5.31
    129617-101387SG/PGGabe Vincent3500ATL@NYATLNY8.1 2.30 0.39 6.00 12.64 4.99
    129617-188454PF/CMouhamed Gueye3500ATL@NYATLNY8.0 2.29 0.65 5.18 11.80 4.91
    129617-203772SFJustin Edwards3500PHI@BOSPHIBOS7.1 2.02 0.50 4.12 9.92 4.39
    129617-158373PGJose Alvarado3500ATL@NYNYATL7.1 2.02 0.71 5.20 12.18 5.55
    129617-228125SF/PFCarter Bryant3500POR@SASAPOR6.9 1.97 0.52 3.92 11.00 5.56
    129617-171925PFDominick Barlow3500PHI@BOSPHIBOS6.9 1.97 2.20 4.28 10.00 4.32
    129617-15557CAndre Drummond4300PHI@BOSPHIBOS6.7 1.56 0.04 3.52 9.97 5.10
    129617-15946PFHarrison Barnes3500POR@SASAPOR6.4 1.83 0.11 3.66 9.66 4.66
    129617-110320SF/SGMatisse Thybulle3500POR@SAPORSA4.9 1.41 0.12 1.20 4.32 2.39
    129617-157819SF/SGCorey Kispert3500ATL@NYATLNY4.8 1.38 0.19 1.52 6.12 3.54
    129617-188429SFKris Murray3500POR@SAPORSA4.7 1.33 0.18 2.76 8.16 4.14
    129617-157807CLuka Garza3500PHI@BOSBOSPHI4.3 1.23 0.05 2.64 9.34 5.30
    129617-84724SG/SFLandry Shamet3500ATL@NYNYATL3.0 0.86 0.10 0.12 3.24 2.17
    129617-80823CTony Bradley3500ATL@NYATLNY2.2 0.63 0.04 0.90 4.02 2.46
    129617-203771CAdem Bona3700PHI@BOSPHIBOS2.0 0.55 0.02 1.52 6.08 3.62

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