EuroLeague DFS Picks 12 November: Top Plays, Value & Fades

The Thursday Shootout on FanTeam gives us five games and a 79 credit budget. Our EuroLeague DFS picks for 12 November lean heavily on Madrid and Valencia, the two biggest home favourites on the slate and the teams with the highest implied scoring.

Below are the top plays, the best value by projected points per credit, and the players whose salaries are ahead of their projections.

Games and pace

Valencia against Bayern has the highest game total at 182.5. Valencia are 1.30 favourites with a team total of 96.5, the highest on the board. Bayern are 3.90 underdogs with 87.5. That is a lopsided game with plenty of scoring, and Valencia players are the natural starting point.

Maccabi against Hapoel Tel Aviv is next at 180.5. Hapoel are 1.50 road favourites with a 92.5 team total, ahead of Maccabi at 88.5. Both sides carry usable totals, so this is the best game for a bring-back.

Madrid host Red Star with a 176.5 total. Madrid are 1.42 favourites at 91.5 points, with Red Star at 85.5.

The two lowest totals are Milan against Zalgiris (169.5) and Olympiacos against Dubai (165.5). Dubai’s 80.5 is the lowest team total on the slate. Milan are 2.25 underdogs at home, with Zalgiris at 1.75.

EuroLeague DFS picks: top plays

Madrid supply the two highest projections. Walter Tavares leads at 30.4 points for 11.4 credits. That is a 2.7x return, which clears the tournament threshold, and he comes with a 37.0 ceiling. Andres Feliz projects almost the same (30.3) but costs 13.7, so his value is 2.2x. His 39.3 ceiling is the highest among the top plays, which suits tournaments.

T.J. Shorts of Valencia projects 30.1 at 15.1 credits, a 2.0x return. He is the most expensive of the top three, but Valencia’s 96.5 team total supports the price. Kameron Taylor is the cheaper Valencia option at 11.3 credits for 25.0 points (2.2x).

Player Pos Team Opp Salary Proj Ceiling Value
Walter Tavares C Madrid Red Star 11.4 30.4 37.0 2.7
Andres Feliz PG Madrid Red Star 13.7 30.3 39.3 2.2
T.J. Shorts PG Valencia Bayern 15.1 30.1 37.8 2.0
Sasha Vezenkov PF Olympiacos Dubai 15.2 27.4 31.3 1.8
Mfiondu Kabengele C Dubai Olympiacos 14.5 26.0 30.3 1.8
Jimmy Clark III PG Maccabi Hapoel Tel Aviv 11.6 25.4 31.3 2.2
Kameron Taylor SF Valencia Bayern 11.3 25.0 28.8 2.2
Elijah Bryant SG Hapoel Tel Aviv Maccabi 15.0 24.2 29.1 1.6

Vezenkov and Kabengele sit at 1.8x. They are fine as a one-off in a tournament lineup, but they are not the foundation of a build. Jimmy Clark III is the more interesting name in that group. He projects 25.4 for 11.6 credits (2.2x) and has a 31.3 ceiling, in a game with a 180.5 total. Bryant at 15.0 credits and 1.6x is the weakest value of the eight.

Value plays

Madrid again lead the value list. Damian Jones is the best return on the slate at 2.9x, projecting 18.1 points for only 6.2 credits. Pairing him with Tavares is a stack in the same team’s frontcourt, though it ties two lineup spots to one game script. Alberto Abalde is a 2.3x option at 9.5 credits and 22.0 points.

Valencia offer the cheap salary relief. Alvaro Cardenas costs 4.6 credits for 12.2 points (2.6x), which is a tournament-level return at a near-minimum price. Jasiel Rivero adds 14.1 points for 6.0 (2.3x). Ousmane Diop is the lone Milan name at 4.4 credits and 10.3 points (2.3x), useful if you need to fit a premium player elsewhere.

Player Pos Team Salary Proj Value
Damian Jones C Madrid 6.2 18.1 2.9
Walter Tavares C Madrid 11.4 30.4 2.7
Alvaro Cardenas PG Valencia 4.6 12.2 2.6
Alberto Abalde SF Madrid 9.5 22.0 2.3
Jasiel Rivero C Valencia 6.0 14.1 2.3
Ousmane Diop PF Milan 4.4 10.3 2.3
Andres Feliz PG Madrid 13.7 30.3 2.2

Fades

These players are not bad. They are badly priced tonight. Each costs 10.9 credits or more and projects well short of what that salary should return.

Player Team Salary Proj Value
Vasilije Micic Hapoel Tel Aviv 13.1 17.2 1.3
Duane Washington Bayern 11.3 14.3 1.3
Elie Okobo Dubai 11.8 16.8 1.4
Andreas Obst Bayern 10.9 15.6 1.4

Micic is the most expensive of the group. At 13.1 credits and 17.2 points, he returns 1.3x, even though his team has a strong 92.5 total. Bayern’s Washington and Obst both face the biggest favourite on the slate, and Bayern are 3.90 underdogs in a game where Valencia are expected to do most of the scoring. Okobo’s Dubai have the lowest team total on the slate at 80.5.

How to build

For cash games, start with Madrid. Tavares, Abalde and Jones all clear 2.0x, and Feliz does too if the budget allows. Add Cardenas or Rivero from Valencia to free up credits for one more premium piece such as Shorts.

For tournaments, the targets are Tavares, Jones and Cardenas, all at 2.5x or better. If you want a differentiated angle, pair Clark with a Hapoel piece in the 180.5 total game. Feliz and his 39.3 ceiling offer the highest upside on the board.

FAQ

Who is the best value on the Thursday Shootout?

Damian Jones of Madrid at 2.9x, with 18.1 projected points for 6.2 credits. Among the premium players, Walter Tavares leads at 2.7x.

Which teams should I target?

Madrid and Valencia. They have team totals of 91.5 and 96.5, and both are heavy home favourites at 1.42 and 1.30.

Which expensive players should I avoid?

Vasilije Micic, Duane Washington, Elie Okobo and Andreas Obst. All four project at 1.4x or lower for their salaries.

Check the latest lineup news before lock, as late changes can shift these projections.

For the always-updated slate numbers and full player stats: see our EuroLeague DFS Projections page. Playing the official game? Check our EuroLeague Fantasy projections.