NBA DFS Picks 15 November: Fanteam, DraftKings, FanDuel & Yahoo

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The slate on 15 November has five games, and my NBA DFS picks start with Nikola Jokic, who has the best projection on the board by a wide margin. Beyond him the price tags matter more than the names. Several stars are priced as if they will hit their ceiling, and some cheap Memphis and Cleveland pieces project better than their salaries suggest.

Everything below comes from our projections and the latest injury report. Lineups are not final for most players, so I flag the game-time calls as conditions rather than picks.

Games and pace

Minnesota against Chicago and Denver against New Orleans carry the highest totals. Minnesota has the highest implied team total on the slate, and Denver is right behind it. Both opponents sit near the bottom of the implied scoring.

Game Total Implied totals
MIN vs CHI 235.8 MIN 125.6, CHI 110.2
DEN vs NOP 235.0 DEN 123.7, NOP 111.3
DAL vs CLE 229.8 DAL 115.8, CLE 114.1
MIA vs DET 229.0 MIA 112.7, DET 116.3
BKN vs MEM 227.2 BKN 113.1, MEM 114.1

Miami against Detroit is the one game where the road team is the favorite on implied points. Brooklyn and Memphis is the lowest total, but the Memphis injury list gives it some value interest.

NBA DFS picks for Fanteam

Fanteam uses 7 players (PG, SG, SF, PF, C and two UTIL), an 85 cap and a maximum of 7 from one team. Value here is projected points divided by salary, and a ratio near 3 is a solid return. The main slate is CLE-DAL, MEM-BKN, MIA-DET, MIN-CHI and NOP-DEN.

Top plays

Player Pos Team Salary Proj Value
Nikola Jokic C DEN 19.5 62.2 3.19
Giannis Antetokounmpo PF MIA 19.2 50.2 2.61
Cade Cunningham PG DET 16.3 48.2 2.96
Cooper Flagg SF DAL 17.0 43.7 2.57
Jamal Murray PG DEN 14.2 42.4 2.99
Donovan Mitchell SG CLE 13.5 41.1 3.04
LaMelo Ball PG MIN 14.0 40.0 2.86
Cameron Boozer PF MEM 13.3 39.9 3.00

Jokic is the anchor. He projects 62.2 points at 19.5, and Denver has the second-highest implied total on the slate. Murray is the natural partner at 14.2 and a value of 2.99. Neither is on the injury report, but lineups are not final.

Cunningham is my other priority at the top. He projects 48.2 for 16.3, which is better value than Giannis or Flagg for a similar role at the center of his offense.

Donovan Mitchell has the best value of the expensive group at 3.04, but he is Questionable according to the latest injury report. If he plays, I like him. If he sits, the Cleveland picture changes and I would look at the cheaper options below instead.

LaMelo Ball has the best setup for volume. According to the latest injury report, Anthony Edwards is out for Minnesota, and the Wolves have the highest implied total on the slate. That points to a heavy workload for Ball.

Value plays

Player Pos Team Salary Proj Value
Cam Spencer SG MEM 7.7 29.6 3.84
Javon Small SG MEM 6.7 24.2 3.61
Jarrett Allen C CLE 9.3 33.4 3.59
Daniss Jenkins PG DET 9.5 32.9 3.46
Jaylon Tyson SG CLE 7.2 23.4 3.25
Cameron Johnson PF DEN 7.7 24.9 3.23
Jalen Smith PF CHI 9.7 31.0 3.20

Memphis is where I start. According to the latest injury report, Ty Jerome, Scotty Pippen Jr., Quinten Post and Richie Saunders are all out, and Zach Edey and Jerami Grant are Questionable. That leaves a thin rotation, which is why Spencer (3.84) and Small (3.61) top the value list. They are cheap enough to let you fit two stars.

Jarrett Allen is Questionable, but Evan Mobley is out according to the report. If Allen plays, his projection of 33.4 at 9.3 is strong value. Jaylon Tyson depends on the same game-time calls: Mitchell, James Harden and Peyton Watson are all Questionable. If any of them sit, Tyson’s role grows.

Jenkins in Detroit looks good at 3.46. Jalen Duren and Isaiah Joe are out according to the injury report, which leaves more room in the Pistons rotation. Cameron Johnson is a cheap way to get Denver exposure without paying for another star.

Jalen Smith is Questionable with a finger sprain. If he plays, his value of 3.20 is fine, but I would not build around him until the lineup is confirmed.

Fades

Player Pos Team Salary Proj Value
Yves Missi C NOP 10.0 19.2 1.92
Cooper Flagg SF DAL 17.0 43.7 2.57
Giannis Antetokounmpo PF MIA 19.2 50.2 2.61
Davion Mitchell PG MIA 11.7 30.9 2.64

These are not bad players. They are badly priced tonight. Missi is the clearest case: 19.2 points for a salary of 10.0 is the weakest value on the board, and he is Probable with a knee bone bruise according to the latest injury report.

Flagg and Giannis both project well, but at 17.0 and 19.2 they cost a lot of cap for a value near 2.6. Giannis is also Probable with a wrist sprain. I would rather spend that money on Jokic or Cunningham and fill the rest with the cheap values. Davion Mitchell at 11.7 is a similar story, with a projection that does not cover the price.

DraftKings value plays

DraftKings uses 8 players (PG, SG, SF, PF, C, G, F, UTIL) and a $50,000 cap. Value is points per $1,000, and around 5 is typical. Jokic ($11,700, 62.2) is the top projection, with Murray ($8,500) and Cunningham ($9,800) both above 4.9. The cheap end is where the real edges are.

Player Pos Team Salary Proj Value
Cam Spencer PG MEM $4,600 29.6 6.43
Ryan Conwell PG MIA $3,500 21.8 6.23
Javon Small PG MEM $3,900 24.2 6.21
Jarrett Allen C CLE $5,600 33.4 5.96
Daniss Jenkins PG DET $5,700 32.9 5.77
Jaylon Tyson SG CLE $4,100 23.4 5.71

Spencer and Small are the same Memphis plays as on Fanteam. Conwell is the cheapest on the list at $3,500, and Miami lists Pelle Larsson as Doubtful according to the injury report. Allen is again a condition on his Questionable status.

FanDuel

FanDuel uses 9 players (PG, SG, SF, PF, C, G/F, F/C and two UTIL) and a $60,000 cap. Projections for this site will be added as soon as the slate is available.

Yahoo

Yahoo uses 8 players (PG, SG, G, SF, PF, F, C, UTIL) and a $200 cap, with at most 6 players from one team. Projections for this site will be added as soon as the slate is available.

FAQ

Who is the best NBA DFS play on 15 November?

Nikola Jokic. He has the top projection on the slate at 62.2, and his value of 3.19 on Fanteam is the best of the high-priced players.

Which cheap players do I like most?

Cam Spencer and Javon Small from Memphis, because the Grizzlies are missing several rotation players according to the latest injury report. Jarrett Allen is also strong value if he plays.

Who do I fade?

Yves Missi on Fanteam, and I would rather not pay full price for Flagg or Giannis. Their projections are fine, but the salaries are too high.

Check the injury report and confirmed lineups before lock, especially for Cleveland, Chicago and Memphis, where several key players are Questionable.

For the always-updated slate numbers and full player projections for DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo and Fanteam, see our NBA DFS Projections page.

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