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The eight-game main slate on 9 November is thin on certainty and heavy on injuries, so my NBA DFS picks start with who is actually available and where the salary has been left behind. Charlotte is short of ball handlers, Indiana is missing Tyrese Haliburton, and Denver’s best players all carry a Probable tag. The top end is priced fairly. The edge is in the cheap and mid-range options that inherit extra work.
Games and pace
Golden State against New Orleans carries the highest implied total for a single team, with the Warriors at 122.6. Los Angeles and Atlanta have the highest game total on the board at 239.0, and both teams sit near 119 to 120 points implied. That is the game I want the most exposure to.
- LAL-ATL: total 239.0, Lakers 120.2, Hawks 118.9
- GSW-NOP: total 234.4, Warriors 122.6, Pelicans 111.8
- TOR-MEM: total 231.9, Raptors 116.1, Grizzlies 115.8
- DAL-IND: total 230.9, Mavericks 118.2, Pacers 112.7
- SAS-PHX: total 227.7, Spurs 118.1, Suns 109.6
- DET-WAS: total 222.8, Pistons 116.2, Wizards 106.7
- DEN-HOU: total 221.2, Nuggets 105.8, Rockets 115.4
- CLE-CHA: total 217.3, Cavaliers 114.3, Hornets 103.0
Charlotte has the lowest game total, but that is not a reason to skip the Hornets. I come back to them below. New Orleans has not submitted an injury report yet, so anything involving the Pelicans is provisional.
NBA DFS picks for Fanteam
Fanteam asks for seven players under a 90 cap, with up to seven from one team. That averages roughly 12.9 per slot, so one or two stars plus a block of cheap value is the natural build. Value here is projected points divided by price, and a ratio near 3 is normal.
Top plays
| Player |
Pos |
Team |
Salary |
Proj |
Value |
| Luka Doncic |
PG |
LAL |
20.2 |
56.7 |
2.81 |
| Nikola Jokic |
C |
DEN |
19.7 |
54.2 |
2.75 |
| Victor Wembanyama |
PF |
SAS |
18.8 |
53.6 |
2.85 |
| Cade Cunningham |
PG |
DET |
15.8 |
48.4 |
3.06 |
| Jalen Johnson |
PF |
ATL |
16.2 |
46.1 |
2.85 |
| Alperen Sengun |
C |
HOU |
15.0 |
45.9 |
3.06 |
| Cooper Flagg |
SF |
DAL |
16.5 |
45.8 |
2.78 |
| Scottie Barnes |
SF |
TOR |
14.7 |
44.2 |
3.01 |
Doncic has the highest projection on the slate, but I am not locking him in. I would rather spend the premium slot on Wembanyama. According to the latest injury report, San Antonio is without Devin Vassell and Tobias Harris, and Phoenix has Mark Williams out, so I expect Wembanyama to carry a heavy workload against a team with no clean way to slow him.
Jokic is listed as Probable with a right elbow sprain, along with Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon and several other Nuggets. I would play him if he is in the lineup and not before. If he sits, Sengun’s role improves, and at 15.0 he already has one of the better ratios among the stars.
Cunningham is my favorite mid-priced piece. Washington is listed with Anthony Davis as Questionable, and Detroit has Jalen Duren out. If Davis sits, the Wizards lose their defensive anchor and Cunningham gets an even better matchup. At 15.8 he already projects 48.4 either way.
Barnes carries a Questionable tag for Toronto, as do Immanuel Quickley and Collin Murray-Boyles, and Kawhi Leonard is out. Barnes is a fine value if he plays. Wait for lineups before you commit.
Value plays
| Player |
Pos |
Team |
Salary |
Proj |
Value |
| Christian Anderson |
PG |
CHA |
5.5 |
21.8 |
3.96 |
| Keldon Johnson |
SF |
SAS |
7.3 |
26.4 |
3.62 |
| Hannes Steinbach |
C |
CHA |
5.8 |
20.1 |
3.47 |
| Grayson Allen |
SF |
CHA |
8.7 |
29.3 |
3.37 |
| Naji Marshall |
SF |
DAL |
8.7 |
29.0 |
3.33 |
| Naz Reid |
C |
CHA |
11.5 |
37.1 |
3.23 |
| Daniss Jenkins |
PG |
DET |
7.2 |
23.2 |
3.22 |
Charlotte is the center of this section. According to the latest injury report, Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller, Dennis Schroder and Grant Williams are all out, and Moussa Diabate is Doubtful. That leaves a lot of shots and touches for Reid, Allen, Anderson and Steinbach. Reid is the safest of them. If Diabate is out, his case gets stronger. Allen is a nervy play because the offense has so few creators, but the price still gives room.
Keldon Johnson is the cleanest cheap San Antonio option, given the two Spurs absences. Marshall is the Dallas play. Kyrie Irving is not on the injury report, so lineups are not final, but if he sits, Marshall absorbs extra work. Jenkins works for similar reasons with Duren out for Detroit.
Fades
| Player |
Pos |
Team |
Salary |
Proj |
Value |
| Ivica Zubac |
C |
IND |
10.7 |
23.6 |
2.21 |
| Trey Murphy III |
SF |
NOP |
11.5 |
28.5 |
2.48 |
| Jabari Smith Jr. |
PF |
HOU |
11.7 |
30.0 |
2.56 |
| Ty Jerome |
PG |
MEM |
13.8 |
35.9 |
2.60 |
None of these are bad players. They are badly priced tonight. Zubac is the clearest case: 10.7 for 23.6 projected is the weakest ratio on the board. Jerome at 13.8 is a steep price for a Memphis team that has Scotty Pippen Jr. and Isaiah Stewart out and a tough matchup in Toronto. Murphy’s team has not submitted a report yet, which is one more reason to be careful.
DraftKings value plays
DraftKings uses eight slots and a $50,000 cap. Value here is projected points per $1,000, and around 5 is typical. The Charlotte and San Antonio cheap options carry over, and Christian Anderson stands out at $3,300.
| Player |
Pos |
Team |
Salary |
Proj |
Pts per $1,000 |
| Christian Anderson |
PG |
CHA |
$3,300 |
21.8 |
6.61 |
| Keldon Johnson |
SF |
SAS |
$4,400 |
26.4 |
6.00 |
| Hannes Steinbach |
C |
CHA |
$3,500 |
20.1 |
5.74 |
| Grayson Allen |
SG |
CHA |
$5,200 |
29.3 |
5.63 |
| Naji Marshall |
SF |
DAL |
$5,200 |
29.0 |
5.58 |
| Daniss Jenkins |
PG |
DET |
$4,300 |
23.2 |
5.40 |
FanDuel value plays
FanDuel needs nine players under $60,000. Detroit’s frontcourt is the interesting spot, since Duren is out and Paul Reed projects 34.0 at $6,100.
| Player |
Pos |
Team |
Salary |
Proj |
Pts per $1,000 |
| Keldon Johnson |
SF |
SAS |
$4,100 |
24.6 |
6.00 |
| Naji Marshall |
SF |
DAL |
$5,000 |
29.2 |
5.84 |
| Julian Champagnie |
SG |
SAS |
$4,100 |
23.0 |
5.61 |
| Paul Reed |
C |
DET |
$6,100 |
34.0 |
5.57 |
| Matisse Thybulle |
SF |
LAL |
$3,900 |
21.5 |
5.51 |
| Daniss Jenkins |
PG |
DET |
$4,000 |
22.0 |
5.50 |
Yahoo value plays
Yahoo uses eight slots, a $200 cap and a maximum of six players per team. Value is a plain ratio near 1, and every player below beats that comfortably. Yaxel Lendeborg is the headline at 14 for a projected 39.0.
| Player |
Pos |
Team |
Salary |
Proj |
Value |
| Yaxel Lendeborg |
SF |
GSW |
14 |
39.0 |
2.79 |
| Kingston Flemings |
PG |
ATL |
10 |
22.0 |
2.20 |
| Paul Reed |
C |
DET |
18 |
34.0 |
1.89 |
| Ja’Kobe Walter |
SG |
TOR |
14 |
25.0 |
1.79 |
| Matisse Thybulle |
SF |
LAL |
14 |
21.5 |
1.54 |
| Cameron Boozer |
PF |
MEM |
27 |
38.9 |
1.44 |
FAQ
Who are the best NBA DFS picks on Fanteam tonight?
Cade Cunningham and Alperen Sengun both have a value ratio of 3.06 among the top plays. Wembanyama is my preferred premium option, and Naz Reid and Grayson Allen are the best Charlotte plays.
Who is the best cheap play on the slate?
Christian Anderson of Charlotte projects 21.8 at 5.5 on Fanteam and $3,300 on DraftKings. Keldon Johnson of San Antonio is the other cheap option I like across several sites.
Is Nikola Jokic safe to play?
According to the latest injury report, Jokic is listed as Probable with a right elbow sprain. That is not a guarantee. I would use him only after the lineup is confirmed.
Check lineups and the injury report again before lock, because several key players are still game-time calls.
For the always-updated slate numbers and full player projections for DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo and Fanteam, see our NBA DFS Projections page.
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