NBA DFS GPP Breakdown: March 16th on FanTeam

Tonight’s NBA slate offers some massive ceiling plays and distinct value targets on FanTeam. To build a winning tournament lineup, you need to balance raw projections with advanced metrics like FT-Pref (FanTeam Preference), which factors in usage rate, matchup difficulty, and pace.

Here is a breakdown of the top targets and slate strategy based on the latest March 16th FanTeam data.


TCritical Injury Report & Usage Shifts

Before locking in your lineups, you must account for several major injuries that will open up significant value:

  • Chicago Bulls: The Bulls’ backcourt is severely depleted, with Jaden Ivey (knee) and Anfernee Simons (wrist) both sidelined with long-term injuries. Isaac Okoro has also been ruled out for tonight’s game against the Grizzlies.
  • LA Clippers & Dallas Mavericks: Kawhi Leonard (ankle) has been downgraded to out for the Clippers. Meanwhile, the Mavericks will likely be without Klay Thompson (rest) and Daniel Gafford (illness), who are both listed as doubtful.
  • Golden State Warriors: The Warriors are getting some key pieces back, as De’Anthony Melton and Kristaps Porzingis are expected to play, and Draymond Green is probable. Moses Moody, however, remains out.
  • Oklahoma City Thunder: Jalen Williams (hamstring) and Branden Carlson (back) are both out against the Magic.

Core Plays: The Elite Tier

Victor Wembanyama (PF, SAS)

  • Salary: 19.5M | Projection: 55.4 | Ceiling: 70.0 Wembanyama is the highest-projected player on the FanTeam slate today, boasting an elite 55.4 median projection. His massive 70.0 ceiling makes him an ideal tournament anchor, and his 5.4 FT-Pref score indicates he is in a true “smash spot” regardless of his raw projection.

Luka Doncic (PG, LAL)

  • Salary: 21.0M | Projection: 54.6 | Ceiling: 69.6 Doncic is the most expensive player on the board at 21.0M. While his raw Value metric (2.60) is slightly lower due to the massive price tag, his 54.6 projection and near-70 point ceiling make him a premier pay-up option if you can find salary relief elsewhere.

Jalen Johnson (PF, ATL)

  • Salary: 18.6M | Projection: 48.5 | Ceiling: 61.5 Johnson offers a slight discount from the top two options while still projecting for nearly 50 points. He carries a solid 4.5 FT-Pref score and is expected to be a popular play with 25.4% projected ownership.

Top Value & Mid-Tier Targets

Josh Giddey (SG, CHI)

  • Salary: 15.0M | Projection: 48.2 | Value: 3.21 With the injuries to Ivey, Simons, and Okoro, Giddey is arguably the best point-per-dollar play on the entire slate. At just 15.0M, he projects for an incredible 48.2 points, generating a slate-leading 3.21 Value score. Furthermore, his 5.5 FT-Pref is the highest among all core plays, and he carries a slate-high 8.2% “Boom” probability, meaning he has the best chance to hit a tournament-winning score.

Paolo Banchero (PF, ORL)

  • Salary: 16.0M | Projection: 46.0 | Value: 2.88 Banchero is a highly efficient mid-tier target. At 16.0M, his 2.88 Value and 4.7 FT-Pref make him an excellent building block who provides a safe 33.5 floor while preserving salary for the elite options.

Deni Avdija (SF, POR) & Cooper Flagg (SF, DAL)

Salaries: 14.6M & 14.5M If you need cheaper forward exposure, both Avdija and Flagg project well in the mid-14M range. Avdija projects for 41.0 points with a 4.3 FT-Pref, while Flagg offers 39.4 projected points and a solid 4.0 FT-Pref. Both are strong pivots to round out your GPP builds.


Full Projections & Data

Below are the full sortable tables for tonight’s slate. Use the search bar to find specific players.

Fanteam Projections

NamePosTeamSalaryProjValueFT-PrefOwn%FormFloorCeilStd DevBoomStatusIds
Cade CunninghamPGDET18.253.92.965.50.0%52.738.969.511.75.1%expected4431021
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderPGOKC16.849.42.945.10.0%43.137.161.99.72.8%expected4434905
LeBron JamesSFLAL15.744.82.864.614.9%42.731.259.911.14.5%expected4434587
Donovan MitchellSGCLE14.542.92.964.631.7%39.429.956.010.24.6%expected4430977
James HardenPGCLE13.839.72.884.331.9%36.526.951.79.71.5%expected4434559
Austin ReavesSGLAL13.439.22.924.33.0%32.327.052.010.24.6%expected4434588
Evan MobleyPFCLE12.538.33.064.425.8%35.527.149.49.03.2%expected4430972
Chet HolmgrenCOKC12.936.22.813.90.0%42.125.047.48.81.7%expected4434907
Jalen DurenCDET12.135.52.944.00.0%27.724.946.88.43.0%expected4431016
Tobias HarrisSFDET11.832.92.793.60.0%38.521.745.59.33.3%expected4431019
Jarrett AllenCCLE10.230.73.013.718.2%33.321.040.57.52.0%expected4430967
Ausar ThompsonSGDET10.630.12.843.40.0%29.820.040.78.11.8%expected4431027
Ajay MitchellPGOKC11.228.82.573.00.0%34.619.039.17.70.8%expected4434916
Isaiah HartensteinCOKC9.828.22.883.30.0%28.618.836.77.10.5%expected4434913
Rui HachimuraPFLAL8.825.52.903.10.3%29.715.735.28.02.5%expected4434590
Marcus SmartPGLAL9.125.32.783.00.1%25.514.534.78.11.6%expected4434586
Deandre AytonCLAL8.623.22.692.76.3%28.113.531.87.31.1%expected4434578
Duncan RobinsonSGDET8.221.12.572.40.0%31.011.930.67.91.0%expected4431034
Daniss JenkinsPGDET6.819.42.862.50.0%22.111.027.46.60.8%possible4431024
Luke KennardSGLAL7.218.82.612.20.0%16.510.627.06.60.8%possible4430864
Max StrusSGCLE7.518.42.452.15.7%22.99.127.17.00.1%possible4430978
Cason WallacePGOKC7.018.02.572.10.0%22.110.026.16.10.4%possible4434919
Alex CarusoSGOKC6.517.82.742.30.0%19.59.426.36.51.7%possible4434903
Dennis SchroderPGCLE5.516.53.002.31.1%12.78.324.66.62.1%possible4435377
Luguentz DortSFOKC6.214.22.281.60.0%13.67.421.05.60.0%expected4434906
Jaylon TysonSFCLE6.012.92.141.44.9%14.35.620.36.20.1%possible4430970
Dean WadePFCLE5.812.82.221.40.5%12.66.119.85.50.0%expected4430965
Jaylin WilliamsPFOKC5.712.72.231.40.0%13.74.820.96.30.3%possible4434909
Isaiah JoeSGOKC5.512.32.231.40.0%12.94.320.46.30.2%possible4434904
Caris LeVertSFDET5.612.22.181.40.0%8.05.419.25.30.0%possible4431029
Jared McCainPGOKC5.210.52.031.10.0%11.52.818.86.50.2%possible4435077
Sam MerrillSGCLE5.310.51.991.10.4%10.33.718.15.70.1%possible4430964
Jaxson HayesCLAL5.210.01.921.00.2%8.64.315.64.60.0%possible4434584
Isaiah StewartCDET5.49.11.690.80.0%4.43.215.04.70.0%possible4431030
Paul ReedPFDET5.26.91.330.50.0%8.71.612.74.50.0%possible4431023
Adou ThieroSFLAL5.46.01.110.40.0%4.70.512.75.30.0%possible4434576
Maxi KleberPFLAL4.75.61.190.40.0%5.01.210.84.10.0%possible4434585
Jarred VanderbiltPFLAL5.05.51.090.40.0%9.20.810.74.40.0%possible4434577
Javonte GreenSGDET5.05.11.010.30.0%3.60.99.63.80.0%possible4431032
Jake LaRaviaPFLAL4.94.40.900.30.0%8.91.28.02.80.0%possible4434581
Ronald Holland IISFDET4.63.90.850.20.0%5.10.58.33.50.0%possible4431028
Aaron WigginsSGOKC4.52.90.650.10.0%3.50.08.03.90.0%possible4434921

DraftKings Projections

PositionNameIDPosSalaryGame InfoTeamAvgProjValueOwn%FloorCeilStd DevSlate
PGCade Cunningham43031114PG/G/UTIL10900DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET49.82 53.55 4.91 26.85 38.52 69.61 11.69 main
PGShai Gilgeous-Alexander43031117PG/G/UTIL10100OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC50.14 49.24 4.88 28.74 37.39 62.01 9.74 main
PFLeBron James43031120PF/F/UTIL9200OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL42.06 45.11 4.90 37.43 31.45 58.82 11.10 main
SGDonovan Mitchell43031123SG/G/UTIL8700DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETCLE44.03 42.06 4.83 28.98 29.55 55.73 10.19 main
PGJames Harden43031126PG/G/UTIL8000DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETCLE44.12 39.34 4.92 35.51 27.80 50.93 9.69 main
PG/SGAustin Reaves43031129PG/SG/G/UTIL7900OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL39.51 38.69 4.90 35.51 26.34 52.65 10.15 main
PF/CEvan Mobley43031136PF/C/F/UTIL7500DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETCLE39.4 36.81 4.91 42.02 27.06 50.29 9.05 main
PFChet Holmgren43031133PF/F/UTIL7700OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC35.73 35.85 4.66 25.36 25.49 47.50 8.80 main
CJalen Duren43031146C/UTIL6900DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET36.79 34.98 5.07 29.92 25.24 46.60 8.39 main
PFTobias Harris43031143PF/F/UTIL7100DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET27.84 33.05 4.65 34.08 20.82 44.67 9.28 main
SFAusar Thompson43031152SF/F/UTIL6400DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET27.49 30.09 4.70 29.71 19.59 40.34 8.14 main
PG/SGAjay Mitchell43031148PG/SG/G/UTIL6700OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC26.85 29.24 4.36 22.59 18.59 38.56 7.69 main
CJarrett Allen43031155C/UTIL5700DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETCLE31.65 28.89 5.07 33.66 21.01 40.14 7.50 main
CIsaiah Hartenstein43031157C/UTIL5500OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC29.2 27.18 4.94 31.81 18.94 37.12 7.07 main
SG/SFMarcus Smart43031159SG/SF/F/G/UTIL5400OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL22.4 24.63 4.56 35.21 14.77 35.46 8.06 main
SF/PFRui Hachimura43031164SF/PF/F/UTIL5300OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL20.27 24.42 4.61 35.53 15.59 34.85 7.95 main
CDeandre Ayton43031168C/UTIL5200OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL26.66 24.16 4.65 37.97 13.19 32.54 7.30 main
SGDuncan Robinson43031170SG/G/UTIL4900DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET21.78 21.60 4.41 26.73 11.30 30.66 7.91 main
SG/SFMax Strus43031173SG/SF/F/G/UTIL4500DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETCLE22.02 18.94 4.21 27.03 9.91 27.25 7.00 main
PGDaniss Jenkins43031187PG/G/UTIL4200DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET19.55 18.53 4.41 22.98 11.09 27.68 6.58 main
SG/SFCason Wallace43031182SG/SF/F/G/UTIL4300OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC21.12 17.79 4.14 17.04 9.70 25.65 6.11 main
PG/SGLuke Kennard43031178PG/SG/G/UTIL4400OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL17.26 17.76 4.04 8.70 10.41 26.94 6.59 main
SF/PFAlex Caruso43031190SF/PF/F/UTIL4000OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC16.06 17.35 4.34 25.78 9.91 26.47 6.47 main
PGDennis Schroder43031215PG/G/UTIL3300DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETCLE21.78 14.95 4.53 36.76 8.07 24.94 6.55 main
SGLuguentz Dort43031194SG/G/UTIL3700OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC17.42 14.16 3.83 10.64 7.41 21.64 5.57 main
SF/PFJaylon Tyson43031197SF/PF/F/UTIL3600DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETCLE24.25 13.71 3.81 9.60 5.30 21.14 6.17 main
SF/PFDean Wade43031201SF/PF/F/UTIL3500DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETCLE15.66 13.19 3.77 11.11 6.18 20.30 5.51 main
SG/SFIsaiah Joe43031205SG/SF/F/G/UTIL3300OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC18.48 12.46 3.77 15.81 4.44 19.66 6.25 main
CJaylin Williams43031218C/UTIL3400OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC19.72 12.30 3.62 6.78 4.41 20.92 6.33 main
SGSam Merrill43031228SG/G/UTIL3200DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETCLE20.58 11.07 3.46 6.34 3.28 18.42 5.67 main
SG/SFCaris LeVert43031210SG/SF/F/G/UTIL3400DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET15.58 10.84 3.19 5.63 5.92 18.98 5.34 main
CJaxson Hayes43031224C/UTIL3100OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL15.61 10.18 3.29 1.50 4.09 15.61 4.58 main
PGJared McCain43031235PG/G/UTIL3100OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC13.9 10.08 3.25 10.30 2.73 18.75 6.50 main
PF/CIsaiah Stewart43031220PF/C/F/UTIL3300DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET19.91 9.46 2.87 1.75 3.23 15.14 4.70 main
CPaul Reed43031226C/UTIL3200DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET17.87 6.50 2.03 0.12 1.41 12.45 4.50 main
SF/PFJavonte Green43031231SF/PF/F/UTIL3100DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET14.17 6.43 2.07 0.53 0.78 9.93 3.82 main
PFJarred Vanderbilt43031260PF/F/UTIL3000OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL13.67 5.68 1.89 0.29 0.61 10.99 4.37 main
SG/SFJake LaRavia43031242SG/SF/F/G/UTIL3000OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL18.35 5.59 1.86 0.89 1.01 7.88 2.76 main
SF/PFAdou Thiero43031238SF/PF/F/UTIL3200OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL4.48 5.46 1.71 0.76 0.74 12.78 5.34 main
SF/PFAaron Wiggins43031263SF/PF/F/UTIL3000OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETOKC17.32 4.70 1.57 0.27 0.00 7.81 3.95 main
PF/CMaxi Kleber43031292PF/C/F/UTIL3000OKC@LAL 05/11/2026 10:30PM ETLAL6.66 4.53 1.51 0.46 1.09 10.92 4.09 main
PFRonald Holland II43031247PF/F/UTIL3000DET@CLE 05/11/2026 08:00PM ETDET16.98 3.25 1.08 0.21 0.44 8.29 3.47 main

Fanduel Projections

IdPositionNicknameSalaryGameTeamOpponentFptsValueOwn%FloorCeilStdDev
129617-188414C/PFVictor Wembanyama12300POR@SASAPOR58.1 4.72 10.64 49.68 65.74 11.99
129617-80808PF/SFJayson Tatum9900PHI@BOSBOSPHI47.9 4.84 22.21 41.29 54.96 10.27
129617-157833PF/SFJalen Johnson8900ATL@NYATLNY44.8 5.03 19.83 35.02 49.36 10.76
129617-49111CJoel Embiid9700PHI@BOSPHIBOS44.7 4.60 26.64 34.00 49.16 11.15
129617-145331PGTyrese Maxey9500PHI@BOSPHIBOS43.6 4.59 13.87 31.28 46.02 10.82
129617-58462C/PFKarl-Anthony Towns8600ATL@NYNYATL43.1 5.01 18.11 35.26 47.94 9.48
129617-67026SF/SGJaylen Brown9000PHI@BOSBOSPHI42.3 4.71 19.95 35.58 48.56 9.55
129617-145539SF/PFDeni Avdija8800POR@SAPORSA42.0 4.77 14.62 31.22 45.54 10.49
129617-84690PGJalen Brunson8300ATL@NYNYATL41.8 5.04 24.64 32.70 45.42 9.54
129617-203723SG/PGStephon Castle7700POR@SASAPOR37.3 4.85 20.76 29.96 41.96 8.83
129617-80810PGDe’Aaron Fox7200POR@SASAPOR34.9 4.84 19.21 30.34 42.50 9.15
129617-9663PGJrue Holiday6800POR@SAPORSA34.6 5.09 29.73 28.14 41.30 9.69
129617-68090SF/PFOG Anunoby6800ATL@NYNYATL33.6 4.94 30.23 26.80 38.76 8.97
129617-19067SG/PGCJ McCollum7100ATL@NYATLNY33.2 4.67 26.54 25.04 38.00 9.47
129617-40562SF/PFJosh Hart6500ATL@NYNYATL32.3 4.97 19.20 26.58 37.50 8.13
129617-12341SF/PFPaul George6900PHI@BOSPHIBOS31.7 4.59 17.01 22.64 35.16 9.25
129617-110356SG/PGNickeil Alexander-Walker6300ATL@NYATLNY31.4 4.99 26.43 24.23 37.34 9.68
129617-145304C/PFOnyeka Okongwu6100ATL@NYATLNY30.7 5.03 27.52 26.68 39.81 9.75
129617-171784SG/PGDyson Daniels6600ATL@NYATLNY30.6 4.64 19.58 23.76 35.00 8.22
129617-49675SG/PGDerrick White5800PHI@BOSBOSPHI29.5 5.09 21.42 23.38 34.84 8.50
129617-228133SG/PGVJ Edgecombe6700PHI@BOSPHIBOS29.1 4.34 5.22 20.22 31.78 8.39
129617-58153SF/PFKelly Oubre5200PHI@BOSPHIBOS27.4 5.26
129617-145335PG/SGPayton Pritchard5400PHI@BOSBOSPHI27.1 5.02 11.04 19.04 29.36 7.59
129617-84708C/PFRobert Williams5300POR@SAPORSA26.1 4.92 38.23 19.78 29.44 7.24
129617-145324SF/SGDevin Vassell5600POR@SASAPOR24.8 4.43 21.86 20.24 31.26 8.08
129617-157904SF/PFJonathan Kuminga5100ATL@NYATLNY24.3 4.77 18.21 18.54 28.42 7.28
129617-188428PGScoot Henderson5000POR@SAPORSA24.2 4.84 23.97 19.02 31.04 8.97
129617-203714CDonovan Clingan4900POR@SAPORSA22.3 4.56 3.02 19.62 29.82 7.64
129617-188447SF/PFToumani Camara4400POR@SAPORSA22.3 5.07 12.82 15.34 25.64 7.65
129617-157811CNeemias Queta4400PHI@BOSBOSPHI22.2 5.04 1.72 15.96 26.18 7.82
129617-228126SG/PGDylan Harper4800POR@SASAPOR21.2 4.42 34.21 17.16 27.92 8.07
129617-84670SG/SFMikal Bridges4200ATL@NYNYATL20.7 4.92 5.35 14.58 24.64 7.33
129617-23831PF/SFJerami Grant4500POR@SAPORSA20.6 4.58 18.50 13.06 22.58 7.12
129617-172098SG/SFJulian Champagnie4100POR@SASAPOR19.8 4.83 27.15 14.98 25.02 7.40
129617-14514CNikola Vucevic4000PHI@BOSBOSPHI18.7 4.67 18.51 17.22 27.50 7.54
129617-157824PG/SGMiles McBride3800ATL@NYNYATL17.4 4.58 18.80 11.26 20.14 6.63
129617-84709CMitchell Robinson3700ATL@NYNYATL16.0 4.33 6.95 12.58 22.00 7.12
129617-158854SF/PFSam Hauser3800PHI@BOSBOSPHI15.7 4.12 9.55 10.64 18.90 6.12
129617-110347SF/PFKeldon Johnson3800POR@SASAPOR15.4 4.07 19.44 11.60 20.58 6.78
129617-41083CLuke Kornet3900POR@SASAPOR14.8 3.79 0.31 9.66 18.58 6.70
129617-157826SG/SFQuentin Grimes3900PHI@BOSPHIBOS14.2 3.65 0.57 7.84 15.26 5.52
129617-171804SG/PGShaedon Sharpe3700POR@SAPORSA12.9 3.48 5.01 9.03 16.92 5.98
129617-20640SG/PGJordan Clarkson3600ATL@NYNYATL11.3 3.14 15.83 8.78 17.12 6.24
129617-203715SGBaylor Scheierman3600PHI@BOSBOSPHI9.4 2.62 1.53 4.91 11.82 5.23
129617-188457SFJordan Walsh3500PHI@BOSBOSPHI8.4 2.41 0.15 4.44 11.22 5.31
129617-101387SG/PGGabe Vincent3500ATL@NYATLNY8.1 2.30 0.39 6.00 12.64 4.99
129617-188454PF/CMouhamed Gueye3500ATL@NYATLNY8.0 2.29 0.65 5.18 11.80 4.91
129617-203772SFJustin Edwards3500PHI@BOSPHIBOS7.1 2.02 0.50 4.12 9.92 4.39
129617-158373PGJose Alvarado3500ATL@NYNYATL7.1 2.02 0.71 5.20 12.18 5.55
129617-228125SF/PFCarter Bryant3500POR@SASAPOR6.9 1.97 0.52 3.92 11.00 5.56
129617-171925PFDominick Barlow3500PHI@BOSPHIBOS6.9 1.97 2.20 4.28 10.00 4.32
129617-15557CAndre Drummond4300PHI@BOSPHIBOS6.7 1.56 0.04 3.52 9.97 5.10
129617-15946PFHarrison Barnes3500POR@SASAPOR6.4 1.83 0.11 3.66 9.66 4.66
129617-110320SF/SGMatisse Thybulle3500POR@SAPORSA4.9 1.41 0.12 1.20 4.32 2.39
129617-157819SF/SGCorey Kispert3500ATL@NYATLNY4.8 1.38 0.19 1.52 6.12 3.54
129617-188429SFKris Murray3500POR@SAPORSA4.7 1.33 0.18 2.76 8.16 4.14
129617-157807CLuka Garza3500PHI@BOSBOSPHI4.3 1.23 0.05 2.64 9.34 5.30
129617-84724SG/SFLandry Shamet3500ATL@NYNYATL3.0 0.86 0.10 0.12 3.24 2.17
129617-80823CTony Bradley3500ATL@NYATLNY2.2 0.63 0.04 0.90 4.02 2.46
129617-203771CAdem Bona3700PHI@BOSPHIBOS2.0 0.55 0.02 1.52 6.08 3.62

Want the full data breakdown? Check our live NBA DFS Projections Page for real-time updates up until tip-off.