The second leg of EuroLeague Round 28 concludes with a massive Friday slate. We have heavy hitters in action, including Monaco taking on Baskonia and Panathinaikos facing Fenerbahce.
While Thursday gave us the Jaylen Hoard error, Friday presents a different kind of opportunity. The pricing algorithm has severely underpriced the starting point guards in the $9k range, giving us multiple “Free Squares” to build around.
We have found a $9.5M guard who projects for a massive 2.4x value, mathematically breaking the Friday slate.
Here are your EuroLeague DFS picks for Friday, Feb 13.
Don’t forget to check our projections
🚨 The “Math” Glitch (Friday Only)
Nigel Williams-Goss (PG | Zalgiris | 9.5M)
- Projection: 22.8 FP
- Value: 2.40x (Highest on Friday Slate)
- The Verdict: The math is undeniable. Williams-Goss is priced at just $9.5M but projects for nearly 23 fantasy points. A 2.4x value is the gold standard for EuroLeague DFS. In a high-tempo matchup against Hapoel Tel Aviv (who struggle to defend guards), he is the “Skeleton Key” that unlocks the rest of your lineup. You simply cannot fade this value.
🔒 The “Stud” Lock
Mike James (PG | Monaco | 16.0M)
- Projection: 35.4 FP
- Value: 2.21x
- The Verdict: The King of EuroLeague Fantasy. Mike James projects for 35.4 FP, which is 3+ points higher than the next closest player (Sylvain Francisco). Monaco has a 91.5 implied team total against Baskonia, a team known for playing fast and loose defense. Thanks to the savings from Williams-Goss and Trent Forrest, you can easily fit his $16.0M salary. He is the safest raw-points play on the board.
💎 The Value Trio (Must Plays)
1. Trent Forrest (PG | Baskonia | 9.2M)
- Value: 2.39x
- Why: If you want to pivot from Williams-Goss (or play both), Forrest is the answer. At $9.2M, he offers nearly identical value (2.39x) and exposure to the high-scoring Monaco/Baskonia game.
2. Daniel Theis (C | Monaco | 9.1M)
- Value: 2.38x
- Why: The algorithm fell asleep here. Theis is a starting-caliber center priced at $9.1M. He gives you cheap exposure to Monaco’s 91-point total without paying the Mike James premium.
⚠️ The Trap (Fade)
Wade Baldwin IV (PG | Fenerbahce | 13.2M)
The Verdict: The price ($13.2M) is awkward. He projects for 26.8 FP, which gives him a 2.03x value rating—significantly lower than the elite options like James (2.21x) or the value guards (2.40x). In a tough defensive matchup against Panathinaikos, you are better off paying down for Williams-Goss or paying up for Mike James. to hit value (1.87x rating). With cheaper guards like **Jimmy Clark III ($12.6M)** projecting for more points tonight, Angola is a negative leverage play.
📝 Friday’s Cheat Sheet (Feb 13)
Guards (PG/SG)
- Mike James (16.0M): The raw points leader. Lock him in. 👑
- Sylvain Francisco (14.7M): Elite pivot if you fade James (32.4 Proj).
- Nigel Williams-Goss (9.5M): The Glitch. 100% Exposure. 🚨
- Trent Forrest (9.2M): The pivot value (2.39x).
Forwards/Centers (SF/PF/C)
- Daniel Theis (9.1M): Best value big man on the slate.
- Mfiondu Kabengele (11.6M): Strong mid-range option (2.38x) if you have the salary.
- Kendrick Nunn (13.8M): High ceiling GPP play for Panathinaikos.
📉 The Optimal Build Strategy
1. The “Double Value” Backcourt: Start with Nigel Williams-Goss ($9.5M) and Trent Forrest ($9.2M). These two guards give you ~45 fantasy points for less than $19M combined.
2. Lock the MVP: Use those massive savings to pay up for Mike James ($16.0M).
3. Fill the Center: Plug in Daniel Theis ($9.1M) to complete the value core.
Good luck with the Friday slate!
For more official stats and lineups, check the Official EuroLeague Website.
A really good blog and me back again.